Dan -
1) Yes, the region of the GBR is several degrees cooler than the reefs areas of Indonesia, Fiji, Bali, etc. But since it is a protected area, it is highly unlikely any of us have corals from there.
2) Global warming is real, but the effects are on the overall trend, not the specific temperature. In other words, you wouldn't be able to measure an effect from it by poping a thermometer into the ocean, but do that repeatedly with thousands of thermometers over a vast area spanning several decades, and then you see global warming.
Whereas the gross average temperature of the world's reefs (averaged over all areas, seasons, and several years) is 82.4º today, it was 82.1º 20 years ago. That is the effect from global warming. It's significant in one respect because you only have to raise the average ocean temp by a couple degrees to wreck havoc on the ice caps. Moreover, the change is rapid in geologic time: If the norm is an average temperature drift of 1º every 500 years, then 0.3º in 20 years is cause for alarm.
But, the oceans certainly are not "several degrees warmer" now than just a few years ago. And in terms of the temperature of our tanks, you can see that that change is so small and slow that it is totally insignificant.
Another point to consider is that when we discuss global warming we are talking about the long term trend. We average out changes from year to year. I.e., it could be 8º warmer this year than last year. But last year was 7º cooler than the year before, etc. It is only when you average the temperatures over many decades or even centuries that the long term trend towards warming is seen.
Anyway... tired of typing.
[ May 03, 2002: Message edited by: MattM ]</p>
1) Yes, the region of the GBR is several degrees cooler than the reefs areas of Indonesia, Fiji, Bali, etc. But since it is a protected area, it is highly unlikely any of us have corals from there.
2) Global warming is real, but the effects are on the overall trend, not the specific temperature. In other words, you wouldn't be able to measure an effect from it by poping a thermometer into the ocean, but do that repeatedly with thousands of thermometers over a vast area spanning several decades, and then you see global warming.
Whereas the gross average temperature of the world's reefs (averaged over all areas, seasons, and several years) is 82.4º today, it was 82.1º 20 years ago. That is the effect from global warming. It's significant in one respect because you only have to raise the average ocean temp by a couple degrees to wreck havoc on the ice caps. Moreover, the change is rapid in geologic time: If the norm is an average temperature drift of 1º every 500 years, then 0.3º in 20 years is cause for alarm.
But, the oceans certainly are not "several degrees warmer" now than just a few years ago. And in terms of the temperature of our tanks, you can see that that change is so small and slow that it is totally insignificant.
Another point to consider is that when we discuss global warming we are talking about the long term trend. We average out changes from year to year. I.e., it could be 8º warmer this year than last year. But last year was 7º cooler than the year before, etc. It is only when you average the temperatures over many decades or even centuries that the long term trend towards warming is seen.
Anyway... tired of typing.

[ May 03, 2002: Message edited by: MattM ]</p>