John_Brandt":33pwq7tw said:The first part of the Executive Summary is clear, objective and right to the issues:
"In the main, this debate has taken place without access to impartial and quantitative data on the trade and, with so many different viewpoints, achieving consensus on its impacts, and hence the identification of suitable responses, has been difficult."
But what do these data tell us? How is it possible to achieve consensus on impacts based on landings data? These data tell us about the scale of the trade. However, they tell us nothing about what is happening with the fish as they haven't provided information on effort. For instance, let's say the total landings remains constant over time, if each year more companies are now submitting landings data, the number of fish per company (effort) has actually gone down [and the document doesn't make it clear whether this has happened either]. And at a more fundamental level, landings may stay the same but companies are having to go further and further to find the fish because they've vacuumed up all the closer areas ... nothing in the trade stats as presented will tell us what is happening on the reef to the populations themselves! [And frankly, even catch per unit effort is at best a rough estimate of sustainability].
Now that's ok (sort of) if you're limiting yourself to saying "this is how many fish are being traded but we still don't have a clue about the sustainability of the trade". But when you combine it with suggestions, innuendos, inferences that overexploitation is simply a "possibility" rather than a likelihood ... and that we are now equipped to understand the conservation issues ... well, I feel uncomfortable.
Blue hula