pcmankey":1y3dgja1 said:
1)Are there raw sewage outlets in the area? Are you saying that it is leeching through the limestone?
2) If that's the case then it could come from rivers anywhere on the eastern seaboard which contain run-off from agriculture and range land and swept there by currents.
3) In any case it is not known--if you draw conclusions when you don't know, especially when you do it with a politcal agenda in mind, that is junk science. If the pathogen can seep through miles and miles of terrestrial land then it could come from river outlets and get there by currents from virtually anywhere.
4) There are tempertature changes on these reefs from year to year, they would all already be wiped out--the temps there now are not the hottest there have ever been.
5) Eric Bourneman over on Reef Central, addressing this issue, referred to another coral disease that is thought, in part, to be spread from atmospheric dust settling from Africa. So much for the need for swimming cows and buffalo.
1) I am not saying it is leeching thru the limestone. Gene Shinn is. He used isotope tracer nutrients and deposited them into septic tanks thru toilets in the Keys. Then he looked for them to show up on the shore. It sometimes took only 4 hours to show up, and often these nutrients would leach out in less than a day.
2) You can familiarize yourself with the drainage basins of the eastern seaboard. While the Gulf shore flow does carry a minimal amount of matter from the Mississippi, the greatest contributor to the Florida Bay is from the Everglades. It is heavlity debated whether the bay and the everglades runoff can reach the reefs, whether underground flow carries nutrients and waste, or whether it is natural from mangroves and resuspension on the continental shelf farther out to sea from the reefs. In any case, there is a small chance that it is from runoff from all over the Eastern seaboard, although a possiblity exists that it could come from the EAA south of Lake Okechobee if flow thru the Everglades into the BAy can even reach the reefs. I refer you to the ongoing battle between Brian LaPointte(1993) and Alina Szmant (1997).
3) I don't know why there would be miles of limestone for waste to leach thru. Our house sits only 10 meters from the shore.
4) I'm not sure if you are familiar with the SST satellite imaging system that is public domain and paid for by your and my taxes. It is even on the web for you to follow. It is a way to let researchers know of potential bleaching areas based on above average sea surface temperatures (SST's). It is quite effective so far and only improves with time as more temperatures are reported from aroud the world. This data suggests that summer temperatures have been increasing and bleaching anomolies have become more frequent over the past decades.
5) I am familiar with the African Dust cloud theory. And it is just that. I have yet to see published papers that can directly link cause and effect. I think the idea first sprang up at the 2000 Bali Symposium. However, since that paper came out stating the possibility, subsequent works have shown that fungus to be common throughout soils and substrata in the US as well. That seems more likely. Again, no conclusive work. The fungus attacks sea fans and gorgonians predominantly.
It seems to me that you are arguing that 100,000 people urinating and defecating into porous holes in the ground that need only travel thru at most 500m of limestone on the widest areas can in no way affect the health of the very near coral reefs.
You could be correct, but for now, I choose to disagree.
Brian